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Match Centre: Watford vs Middlesbrough

Today

Championship Matchday 15

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Home Watford
16:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 1 day 1 h
Away Middlesbrough
Pre-match chances
30% Watford 24% draw Middlesbrough 46%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Where to watch: Paramount++3 Stadium: Vicarage Road, Watford Referee: Gavin Ward

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

Player in form

Will Lankshear: 7 goals in 5 league matches

Goals7 xG3.46

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 3.5).

What's at stake

Watford: a match about staying up

40%after a loss 25%after a win

Relegation risk: 40% after a defeat, 25% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 25 April: Middlesbrough – Watford 5:1

Morgan Whittaker: 2 goals. Before that, Middlesbrough went 3 meetings in a row without a win.

Referee

Gavin Ward: 3.7 yellow cards per match

This season in this competition: 7 matches, no red card, 2 penalties.

What's at stake

Middlesbrough: a match for the title

21%after a loss 32%after a win

Title chances: 21% after a defeat, 32% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Attack

Middlesbrough score 2.6 goals per match

Watford1.2 Middlesbrough2.6

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Watford score 1.2.

Players to watch

Championship, this season.

Iker Bravo

Watford · midfielder

1goal 3assists 6.88avg rating

Last match, Lincoln City: rating 7.2.

Will Lankshear

Middlesbrough · forward

13goals 0assists 7.39avg rating

Last match, Charlton Athletic: 2 goals, rating 8.4.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

Watford

  • Daniel BachmannInjured · return date unknown
  • Kwadwo BaahInjured · return date unknown

Middlesbrough

  • Alfie JonesInjured · return date unknown
  • David StrelecInjured · return date unknown
  • Rokas PukstasInjured · return date unknown

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Watford at home and Middlesbrough away, as in this match.

Watford

at home · 10

5W1D4L1.1scored per match1.8conceded per match

Middlesbrough

away · 10

4W2D4L1.6scored per match1.5conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 3.2 · 7.2; cards 3.2 · 0.8

Head to head

26 meetings since 2006. The last 5 below.

Last time · 25 Apr 2026 · Championship Middlesbrough 5:1 Watford Whittaker 6', 58' · Strelec 45+1' · Conway 75' (k), 90+2' · Abankwah 48'. Middlesbrough: a first win in this fixture in 3 meetings.
3wins

0 draws3.4 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 5

2wins
Show older (5)
  • 30 Sep 2023Championship Watford2:3Middlesbrough Bayo 19' · Hoedt 52' · McGree 5', 12' · Coburn 63' before our records
  • 28 Jan 2023Championship Middlesbrough2:0Watford Akpom 36' · Forss 45+3' before our records
  • 30 Aug 2022Championship Watford2:1Middlesbrough Sarr 24' · Bayo 90+3' · Muniz 4' before our records
  • 5 Apr 2021Championship Middlesbrough1:1Watford Bolasie 78' · Sarr 32' before our records
  • 11 Sep 2020Championship Watford1:0Middlesbrough Cathcart 11' before our records

Expected lineups

The data provider's expected XI.

Official around 15:00, Sat 7 Nov

WatfordMiddlesbrough

When the clubs announce the official lineups (usually an hour before kick-off), they replace the expected ones.

Out

Watford: Daniel Bachmann, Kwadwo BaahMiddlesbrough: Alfie Jones, David Strelec, Rokas Pukstas

Coaches

Alessio DionisiWatford Kim HellbergMiddlesbrough

Full squads (38 players)

Watford

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Middlesbrough

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Player intelligence

Player comparison

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

30%Watford
24%draw
46%Middlesbrough

Out of 20 matches like this, Watford win 6, 5 end level and Middlesbrough win 9.

The forecast leans to Middlesbrough. By Volt (strength from league results) Middlesbrough rate higher: 38.8 and 61.0.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 1:111%
  2. 1:210%
  3. 0:18%
  4. 2:18%
  5. 0:27%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals80% Watford 6 of 10 · Middlesbrough 9 of 10
  • 3+ goals58% Watford 5 of 10 · Middlesbrough 8 of 10
  • 4+ goals35% Watford 3 of 10 · Middlesbrough 6 of 10
  • 5+ goals21% Watford 2 of 10 · Middlesbrough 3 of 10
Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 59%.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Watford relegation risk today 35%
after a defeat
40%
after a draw
35%
after a win
25%
Middlesbrough title chance today 27%
after a defeat
21%
after a draw
24%
after a win
32%

Watford: 14 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

38.8 61.0
WatfordMiddlesbrough
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Saturday 7 November, 16:00Your time · in 1 day 1 h
Where to watch
Paramount+, CBS Sports Golazo Network, Pluto TV (Stream), The Roku Channel (Stream) USA · change country
Stadium
Vicarage Road Watford · show map
Referee
Gavin Ward 🇪🇳 3.7 yellow cards per match · This season · 7 matches
Rest
Watford 4 days · Middlesbrough 3 days Both last played: Championship
Table
20. Watford (14 pts) and 1. Middlesbrough (28 pts) Matchday 15 of 46
Weather
9°Covercastwind 8 km/h
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · Vicarage Road
⌘K

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