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Match Centre: Málaga vs Racing Santander

Today

La Liga Matchday 12

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Home Málaga
14:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 2 days 17 h
Away Racing Santander

Six of the Round · La Liga

Pre-match chances
45% Málaga 26% draw Racing Santander 29%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Where to watch: ESPN Deportes+4 Stadium: Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Málaga: a match about staying up

75%after a loss 58%after a win

Relegation risk: 75% after a defeat, 58% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 24 May: Málaga – Racing Santander 1:1

Racing Santander are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings.

What's at stake

Racing Santander: a match about staying up

33%after a loss 17%after a win

Relegation risk: 33% after a defeat, 17% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

By the numbers

Racing Santander have lost 5 out of their 5 most recent away La Liga matches.

Player in form

Adrián Niño Heredia: 4 goals in 5 league matches

Goals4 xG1.57

Scoring more than his chances suggest (xG 1.6).

By the numbers

In 6 out of 7 of Málaga's last La Liga matches, both teams have scored.

Players to watch

La Liga, this season.

Adrián Niño Heredia

Málaga · forward

5goals 0assists 7.11avg rating

Last match, Real Betis: 1 goal, rating 7.4.

Yassir Zabiri

Racing Santander · forward

8goals 0assists 7.16avg rating

Last match, Real Madrid: rating 6.6.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Málaga at home and Racing Santander away, as in this match.

Málaga

at home · 10

1W6D3L1.1scored per match1.6conceded per match

Racing Santander

away · 10

3W2D5L1.2scored per match2.1conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 4.8 · 6.8; cards 2.0 · 2.4

Head to head

20 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 24 May 2026 · La Liga 2 Málaga 1:1 Racing Santander Larrubia 4' · Martín 70'
0wins

2 draws1.8 goals per match · both scored in 2 of 5

3wins
Show older (5)
  • 1 Oct 2022La Liga 2 Racing Santander0:0Málaga before our records
  • 23 Feb 2020La Liga 2 Málaga2:0Racing Santander Morente 29' · Lombán 39' before our records
  • 17 Aug 2019La Liga 2 Racing Santander0:1Málaga Morales 85' before our records
  • 9 Apr 2012La Liga Málaga3:0Racing Santander Isco 22' · Cazorla 64' · van Nistelrooy 84' before our records
  • 21 Nov 2011La Liga Racing Santander1:3Málaga Arana 70' · Isco 48' · González 65' (s) · Fernández 89' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Málaga (4-1-4-1, last: Real Betis) · Racing Santander (4-2-3-1, last: Real Madrid).

Official around 13:00, Sat 7 Nov

MálagaRacing Santander

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Juan Funes ArjonaMálaga José López MenéndezRacing Santander

Full squads (64 players)

Málaga

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Racing Santander

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

45%Málaga
26%draw
29%Racing Santander

Out of 20 matches like this, Málaga win 9, 5 end level and Racing Santander win 6.

The forecast leans to Málaga. By Volt (strength from league results) Racing Santander rate higher: 42.0 and 45.3.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 1:112%
  2. 2:110%
  3. 1:09%
  4. 1:27%
  5. 2:07%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals78% Málaga 8 of 10 · Racing Santander 10 of 10
  • 3+ goals55% Málaga 5 of 10 · Racing Santander 8 of 10
  • 4+ goals32% Málaga 3 of 10 · Racing Santander 5 of 10
  • 5+ goals18% Málaga 1 of 10 · Racing Santander 4 of 10

Racing Santander: at least two goals in each of the last 10 matches.

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 58%.

What this match changes in the season

Relegation risk after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Málaga today 67%
after a defeat
75%
after a draw
70%
after a win
58%
Racing Santander today 26%
after a defeat
33%
after a draw
26%
after a win
17%

Málaga: 17 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

42.0 45.3
MálagaRacing Santander
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Saturday 7 November, 14:00Your time · in 2 days 17 h
Where to watch
ESPN Deportes, ESPN Select, ESPN+, Fubo.tv, ESPN Unlimited (Stream) USA · change country
Stadium
Estadio La Rosaleda Málaga · show map
Rest
Málaga 7 days · Racing Santander 6 days Both last played: La Liga
Table
20. Málaga (5 pts) and 16. Racing Santander (11 pts) Matchday 12 of 38
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · Estadio La Rosaleda
⌘K

Arrows move · Enter opens · Esc closes

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