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Match Centre: Alverca vs Casa Pia

Today

Liga Portugal Matchday 11

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Home Alverca
19:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 5 days 2 h
Away Casa Pia
Pre-match chances
37% Alverca 28% draw Casa Pia 35%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Stadium: Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Casa Pia: a match about staying up

36%after a loss 21%after a win

Relegation risk: 36% after a defeat, 21% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 12 April: Alverca – Casa Pia 3:1

Player in form

Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira: 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 league matches

Goals2

The most goals and assists in the squad over recent league matches.

Players to watch

Liga Portugal, this season.

2goals 2assists 7.32avg rating

Last match, Arouca: rating 7.0.

Lawrence Ofori

Casa Pia · midfielder

1goal 1assist 6.76avg rating

Last match, Sporting CP: rating 6.5.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Alverca at home and Casa Pia away, as in this match.

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 3.2 · 4.0; cards 2.6 · 2.8

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025.

Last time · 12 Apr 2026 · Liga Portugal Alverca 3:1 Casa Pia Figueiredo 49' · Oliveira 63' · Rhaldney 83' · Marques 1'. Alverca: 2 wins in a row in this fixture.

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Alverca (3-4-3, last: Arouca) · Casa Pia (4-2-3-1, last: Sporting CP).

Official around 18:00, Sat 7 Nov

AlvercaCasa Pia

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Sérgio FerreiraAlverca Filipe Amaral Rino CoelhoCasa Pia

Full squads (64 players)

Alverca

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Casa Pia

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

37%Alverca
28%draw
35%Casa Pia

Out of 20 matches like this, Alverca win 7, 6 end level and Casa Pia win 7.

The forecast sees an even match. By Volt (strength from league results) Alverca rate higher: 47.7 and 38.1.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 1:113%
  2. 1:012%
  3. 0:111%
  4. 0:010%
  5. 2:18%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals67% Alverca 7 of 10 · Casa Pia 6 of 10
  • 3+ goals41% Alverca 5 of 10 · Casa Pia 3 of 10
  • 4+ goals21% Alverca 4 of 10 · Casa Pia 2 of 10
  • 5+ goals11% Alverca 1 of 10 · Casa Pia 2 of 10
Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 48%.

What this match changes in the season

Each club's chance in its part of the table, after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Alverca European-place chance today 4%
after a defeat
2%
after a draw
3%
after a win
5%
Casa Pia relegation risk today 31%
after a defeat
36%
after a draw
31%
after a win
21%

Casa Pia: 15 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

47.7 38.1
AlvercaCasa Pia
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month See the full sample on the match of the day

Match sheet

Kick-off
Saturday 7 November, 19:00Your time · in 5 days 2 h
Where to watch
No broadcast listed: USA USA · change country
Stadium
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca Alverca do Ribatejo · show map
Rest
Alverca 14 days · Casa Pia 8 days Both last played: Liga Portugal
Table
10. Alverca (11 pts) and 17. Casa Pia (7 pts) Matchday 11 of 34
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca
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