GolVolt — Pau vs Nantes: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

Ligue 2 Matchday 12

Pau

20:00 Sat 7 Nov · your time in 2 days 7 h

Nantes

Six of the Round · Ligue 2 Golden minute

Pre-match chances

46% Pau 28% draw Nantes 27%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Stadium: Stade Du Hameau Idron 1, Bizanos Referee: Antoine Valnet

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Nantes: a match about staying up

31%after a loss 16%after a win

Relegation risk: 31% after a defeat, 16% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Attack

Pau score 2.4 goals per match

Pau2.4 Nantes1.0

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Nantes score 1.0.

Streak

Pau unbeaten in 5 matches

WWWWW

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 5 wins. Last defeat: 11 September, 0:1 against Montpellier.

Referee

Antoine Valnet: 3.7 yellow cards per match

This season in this competition: 6 matches, no red card, no penalty.

Last time

Last meeting, 5 January 2024: Pau – Nantes 1:4

Tino Kadewere: 2 goals.

Streak

Nantes without a win in 4 matches

DLLD

All competitions, friendlies excluded: 2 draws and 2 defeats. Last win: 19 September, 2:1 against Boulogne.

Players to watch

Ligue 2, this season.

Babacar Leye

Pau · forward

4goals 1assist 7.06avg rating

Last match, Metz: 1 assist, rating 7.4.

Wilitty Younoussa

Nantes · midfielder

2goals 2assists 6.97avg rating

Last match, Clermont: rating 6.8.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Pau at home and Nantes away, as in this match.

Pau

at home · 10

4W3D3L1.3scored per match1.2conceded per match

Nantes

away · 10

1W3D6L0.7scored per match1.4conceded per match

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 3.8 · 6.2; cards 2.8 · 2.4

Head to head

1 meeting since 2024.

Last time · 5 Jan 2024 · Coupe de France Pau 1:4 Nantes Sylla 15' · Mollet 48' · Kadewere 80', 83' · Bamba 88'

0wins

0 draws5.0 goals per match · both scored in 1 of 1

1wins

5 Jan 2024Coupe de France Pau1:4Nantes Sylla 15' · Mollet 48' · Kadewere 80', 83' · Bamba 88' before our records

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Pau (5-3-2, last: Metz) · Nantes (5-3-2, last: Clermont).

Official around 19:00, Sat 7 Nov

BMMaubleu AAAbdallah ABBamba ABBriançon GPPaquiez MTTourraine LRRajot JBBenet CFFall JSSebas HBBenali PCCarlgren FCCentonze FGGuilbert SSSow KAAmian RHHachem WYYounoussa BPPierret JLLepenant IGGanago KCCorredor

PauNantes

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Thierry DebesPau Grégory PoirierNantes

Full squads (64 players)

Pau

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Nantes

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

– Lamine Diack
– Yanel Zézé

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

46%Pau

28%draw

27%Nantes

Out of 20 matches like this, Pau win 9, 6 end level and Nantes win 5.

The forecast leans to Pau. By Volt (strength from league results) Pau rate higher: 51.2 and 44.5.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

1:113%
1:012%
2:19%
0:09%
0:19%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

2+ goals70% Pau 7 of 10 · Nantes 6 of 10
3+ goals45% Pau 5 of 10 · Nantes 5 of 10
4+ goals24% Pau 3 of 10 · Nantes 3 of 10
5+ goals12% Pau 1 of 10 · Nantes 3 of 10

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 49%.

What this match changes in the season

Relegation risk after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Nantes today 25%

after a defeat: 31%
after a draw: 24%
after a win: 16%

Nantes: 15 percentage points of relegation risk between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

51.2 44.5