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Match Centre: Toulouse vs Strasbourg

Today

Ligue 1 Matchday 10

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Home Toulouse
20:45 Fri 6 Nov · your time in 1 day 11 h
Away Strasbourg
Pre-match chances
47% Toulouse 25% draw Strasbourg 28%

Pre-match result forecast (provider data).

Where to watch: beIN SPORTS CONNECT+2 Stadium: Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse Referee: Mathieu Vernice

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Strasbourg: a match for Europe

11%after a loss 22%after a win

Chances of Europe: 11% after a defeat, 22% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Player in form

Casper Tengstedt: 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 league matches

Goals4 xG3.81

Goals in line with the quality of his chances (xG 3.8).

Defence

Strasbourg concede 2.2 goals per match

Toulouse1.2 Strasbourg2.2

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Toulouse concede 1.2.

Last time

Last meeting, 3 May: Strasbourg – Toulouse 1:2

Referee

Mathieu Vernice: 4.2 yellow cards per match

This season in this competition: 5 matches, 1 red card, 5 penalties.

By the numbers

Toulouse are unbeaten in 5 out of their 6 most recent Ligue 1 matches.

Players to watch

Ligue 1, this season.

Casper Tengstedt

Toulouse · forward

5goals 1assist 7.15avg rating

Last match, Olympique Marseille: rating 6.5.

Gessime Yassine

Strasbourg · forward

4goals 3assists 7.37avg rating

Last match, Auxerre: 2 goals and 1 assist, rating 9.6.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

Toulouse

  • Aron DønnumSuspended · until 7 Nov
  • Rafik MessaliInjured · return date unknown

Strasbourg

  • Joaquín PanichelliInjured · until 31 Dec
  • Fábio BaldéInjured · return date unknown

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Toulouse at home and Strasbourg away, as in this match.

Per match, the last 5 matches in all competitions: corners 3.8 · 3.0; cards 2.8 · 1.6

Head to head

18 meetings since 2005. The last 5 below.

Last time · 3 May 2026 · Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1:2 Toulouse Amo-Ameyaw 27' · Methalie 43' · Emersonn 84'. Toulouse: 2 wins in a row in this fixture.
2wins

1 draw2.0 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 5

2wins
Show older (5)
  • 27 Aug 2023Ligue 1 Strasbourg2:0Toulouse Emegha 52' · Bellegarde 89' before our records
  • 29 Jan 2023Ligue 1 Strasbourg1:2Toulouse Gameiro 20' · Dallinga 25', 51' before our records
  • 23 Oct 2022Ligue 1 Toulouse2:2Strasbourg Rouault 44' · Dejaegere 55' · Mothiba 65' · Gameiro 73' before our records
  • 5 Feb 2020Ligue 1 Toulouse0:1Strasbourg Butler 75' before our records
  • 7 Dec 2019Ligue 1 Strasbourg4:2Toulouse Koné 7' · Thomasson 26' · Ajorque 48' · Mothiba 75' · Isimat-Mirin 3' · Saïd 50' before our records

Expected lineups

The data provider's expected XI.

Official around 19:45, Fri 6 Nov

ToulouseStrasbourg

When the clubs announce the official lineups (usually an hour before kick-off), they replace the expected ones.

Out

Toulouse: Aron Dønnum, Rafik MessaliStrasbourg: Joaquín Panichelli, Fábio Baldé

Coaches

Jens AskouToulouse Hugo Filipe Carvalho OliveiraStrasbourg

Full squads (41 players)

Toulouse

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Strasbourg

Goalkeepers

Defenders

Midfielders

Forwards

Squad

Player intelligence

Player comparison

Who wins?

The data provider's forecast, not GolVolt's. It says how often a match like this ends each way.

47%Toulouse
25%draw
28%Strasbourg

Out of 20 matches like this, Toulouse win 9, 5 end level and Strasbourg win 6.

The forecast leans to Toulouse. By Volt (strength from league results) Strasbourg rate higher: 50.0 and 53.7.

Likeliest scores

The five likeliest from the score grid.

  1. 1:111%
  2. 2:110%
  3. 1:09%
  4. 1:27%
  5. 2:07%

How many goals?

The forecast, and under it what happened in each club's last 10 matches.

  • 2+ goals78% Toulouse 8 of 10 · Strasbourg 10 of 10
  • 3+ goals55% Toulouse 6 of 10 · Strasbourg 9 of 10
  • 4+ goals32% Toulouse 4 of 10 · Strasbourg 5 of 10
  • 5+ goals18% Toulouse 1 of 10 · Strasbourg 3 of 10

Strasbourg: at least two goals in each of the last 10 matches.

Goals at both ends

Chance that each side scores: 58%.

What this match changes in the season

European-place chance after each result.

Club today after a defeat after a draw after a win
Toulouse today 7%
after a defeat
5%
after a draw
6%
after a win
10%
Strasbourg today 15%
after a defeat
11%
after a draw
14%
after a win
22%

Strasbourg: 11 percentage points of European-place chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

50.0 53.7
ToulouseStrasbourg
  • GolVolt’s own goals model
  • XI stability
  • Matches with this profile

The first row is real. The rest is waiting in Pro.

Unlock from €3.25 a month

Match sheet

Kick-off
Friday 6 November, 20:45Your time · in 1 day 11 h
Where to watch
beIN SPORTS CONNECT, beIN SPORTS en Español, fuboTV USA · change country
Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse Toulouse · show map
Referee
Mathieu Vernice 🇫🇷 4.2 yellow cards per match · This season · 5 matches
Rest
Toulouse 5 days · Strasbourg 5 days Both last played: Ligue 1
Table
12. Toulouse and 13. Strasbourg, 10 pts each Matchday 10 of 34
Weather
10°Covercastwind 4 km/h
Other country

Broadcast listings update regularly.

Venue map · Stadium de Toulouse
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