GolVolt — Lens vs Olympique Marseille: preview, line-ups, chances

Today

Ligue 1 Matchday 10

Lens

20:45 Sun 8 Nov · your time in 2 days 22 h

Olympique Marseille

Six of the Round · Ligue 1 Golden minute

A dot on a form pip marks another competition.

Stadium: Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens Referee: Willy Delajod

What to watch for

Facts from our data worth knowing before kick-off. After the match we check them ✓ / ✗.

What's at stake

Lens: a match for Europe

42%after a loss 60%after a win

Chances of Europe: 42% after a defeat, 60% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Player in form

Florian Thauvin: 1 goal and 6 assists in 5 league matches

Goals1

The most goals and assists in the squad over recent league matches.

Defence

Lens concede 3.0 goals per match

Lens3.0 Olympique Marseille1.4

Last 5 matches in all competitions. Olympique Marseille concede 1.4.

What's at stake

Olympique Marseille: a match for Europe

47%after a loss 65%after a win

Chances of Europe: 47% after a defeat, 65% after a win (10,000 simulations of the rest of the season).

Last time

Last meeting, 24 January: Olympique Marseille – Lens 3:1

WLLW

Amine Gouiri: 2 goals.

Referee

Willy Delajod: 3.5 yellow cards per match

This season in this competition: 6 matches, no red card, 1 penalty.

Players to watch

Ligue 1, this season.

Florian Thauvin

Lens · forward

4goals 8assists 7.93avg rating

Last match, LOSC Lille: rating 7.0.

Amine Gouiri

Olympique Marseille · forward

6goals 3assists 7.42avg rating

Last match, Toulouse: 1 goal and 1 assist, rating 8.1.

Who is out

Injuries and suspensions

The list usually arrives about 48 hours before kick-off. There is none for this match yet.

Recent matches

Bar height is the goal difference. Hover or tap a bar for the details.

“This set-up” is Lens at home and Olympique Marseille away, as in this match.

Lens

at home · 10

6W0D4L1.8scored per match2.0conceded per match

Olympique Marseille

away · 10

3W0D7L1.0scored per match1.7conceded per match

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024.

Last time · 24 Jan 2026 · Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille 3:1 Lens Gouiri 3', 75' · Nwaneri 13' · Fofana 85'

2wins

0 draws3.0 goals per match · both scored in 3 of 4

2wins

Expected lineups

For now, the last starting XI: Lens (3-4-2-1, last: Como) · Olympique Marseille (4-1-4-1, last: Toulouse).

Official around 19:45, Sun 8 Nov

RRRisser RAAguilar SBBaidoo KAAntonio MSSkoras MCCuisance AHHaidara MUUdol FTThauvin THHazard FIIvanović JLde Lange TWWeah CREgan-Riley NAAguerd EMEmerson PHHøjbjerg AHHarit HAAbdelli TNNnadi IPPaixão AGGouiri

LensOlympique Marseille

When the provider publishes the expected XI (usually a day before the match), it replaces the last one. A player on the absence list stays on the pitch as a pale, dashed “ghost”.

Coaches

Yannick CahuzacLens Bruno GénésioOlympique Marseille

Who wins?

The provider's forecast usually arrives a few days before kick-off.

What this match changes in the season

European-place chance after each result.

today after a defeat after a draw after a win

Lens today 52%

after a defeat: 42%
after a draw: 50%
after a win: 60%

Olympique Marseille today 55%

after a defeat: 47%
after a draw: 55%
after a win: 65%

Lens: 18 percentage points of European-place chance between a win and a defeat.

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. How we count

Pro analysisGolVolt ProPro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Pro analysis

GolVolt Pro

Pro extends the free match profile with its own goals model, lineup stability and results from similar fixtures. Coverage depends on the available data.

Volt matchup

60.8 58.8